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・ Predicate transformer semantics
・ Predicate variable
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・ Predictable (Delta Goodrem song)
・ Predictable (Good Charlotte song)
・ Predictable (The Kinks song)
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・ Predictable serial number attack
Predictable surprise
・ Predictably Irrational
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・ Predicted fire
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・ Predicted no-effect concentration
・ Predicted outcome value theory
・ Predictify
・ PredictifyMe
・ Predicting the timing of peak oil
・ Prediction
・ Prediction (disambiguation)


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Predictable surprise : ウィキペディア英語版
Predictable surprise

A "Predictable Surprise" describes a situation or circumstance in which avoidable crises are marginalized in order to satisfy economic and social policies.
==Definition==
Max H. Bazerman and Michael D. Watkins define "predictable surprises" as problems that
* at least some people are aware of,
* are getting worse over time, and
* are likely to explode into a crisis eventually,
* but are not prioritized by key decision-makers or have not elicited a response fast enough to prevent severe damage.
The problems behind "predictable surprises" tend to require a significant investment in the near term that will not pay off until later. This could involve changes to established organization culture and/or changes that competing interests do not benefit from.

抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)
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